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KMID : 1024520180270060425
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Journal of the Environmental Sciences
2018 Volume.27 No. 6 p.425 ~ p.436
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Numerical Estimates of Seasonal Changes of Possible Radionuclide Dispersion at the Kori Nuclear Power Plants
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Kim Ji-Seon
Lee Soon-Hwan
Park Kang-Won
Lee Sung-Gwang
Choi Se-Young
Cho Kyu-Chan
Lee Hyeuk-Woo
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Abstract
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To establish initial response scenarios for nuclear accidents around the Kori nuclear power plants, the potential for radionuclide diffusion was estimated using numerical experiments and statistical techniques. This study used the numerical model WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) and FLEXPART (Flexible Particle dispersion model) to calculate the three-dimensional wind field and radionuclide dispersion, respectively. The wind patterns observed at Gijang, near the plants, and at meteorological sites in Busan, were reproduced and applied to estimates of seasonally averaged wind fields. The distribution of emitted radionuclides are strongly associated with characteristics of topography and synoptic wind patterns over nuclear power plants. Since the terrain around the power plants is complex, estimates of radionuclide distribution often produce unexpected results when wind data from different sites are used in statistical calculations. It is highly probable that in the summer and autumn, radionuclides move south-west, towards the downtown metropolitan area. This study has clear limitations in that it uses the seasonal wind field rather than the daily wind field.
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KEYWORD
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nuclear accident, response scenarios, radionuclide distribution, numerical model, WRF/FLEXPART
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